DECISION TREE 2)4)
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The ordered sequence of the decisions taken or to be taken.
"A decision tree is essentially a branched list of questions in which the answer to one question determines the next question asked"
The decision tree is generally represented by a branching graph.
Each question is called a "node" on the tree, and each answer leads to a separate "branch". At the end of each branch lies a "leaf node", where the decision tree assigns a classification to the data" (C.E. BRODLEY et al, 1999, p.57).
Of course, each node represents a hypothesis with different conjectures, formulated in accordance with some assumption about the process under study.
M. TODA describes the decision tree as follows: "Several alternatives courses of action, which I shall call plans…, are neatly organized into the form of a decision tree. All the alternative plans branch out from the node representing the current decision situation. Then each of the plans-branches fans out at a chance node over which is assigned a probability distribution. Then, at the end of each finger of the fan one will find another subdecision node from which subplans branch out further. After repeating these branchings several times, each route will end up at a certain terminal state. Utilities are assigned to various locations all over the tree, and also to all the terminal states.
"Given the fully worked out decision tree, it is a simple matter of computation to determine which plan produces the highest expected utility, and the end of computation is followed immediately by the moment of deciding" (1976, p.79).
Such a neat – and quite formal – ordering does not however insure in itself the good fit of the plan: it merely defines the correct sequence to be followed, once a general – and supposedly satisfactory - decision has been taken about the global plan.
Categories
- 1) General information
- 2) Methodology or model
- 3) Epistemology, ontology and semantics
- 4) Human sciences
- 5) Discipline oriented
Publisher
Bertalanffy Center for the Study of Systems Science(2020).
To cite this page, please use the following information:
Bertalanffy Center for the Study of Systems Science (2020). Title of the entry. In Charles François (Ed.), International Encyclopedia of Systems and Cybernetics (2). Retrieved from www.systemspedia.org/[full/url]
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